Practical Crypto & Forex guides
Step-by-step guides for choosing platforms, checking regulation, understanding costs, improving security, and managing risk.
Published guides
Mt. Gox: lost Bitcoin, bankruptcy and the long road to repayment
Follow the assets, legal claims and actual repayments through the Mt. Gox case, with a dated status check and an illustrative 10 BTC account.
Open articleFed interest rates and the dollar: expectations, decisions and market reactions
Read the decision against expectations, follow yields and compare both currencies. Includes a checked study of 60 scheduled FOMC meetings and separate statement and press-conference reactions.
Open articleDCA or lump-sum Bitcoin and Ethereum: an equal-capital study
We test the same available capital across hundreds of historical windows, including uninvested cash, fees, separate BTC and ETH results and sensitivity checks.
Open articleHow a stop-loss executes: trigger price, slippage and quotation gaps
Bid/Ask triggers, gaps, slippage and the evidence needed to check a stop-loss fill, with three comparable EUR/USD scenarios.
Open articleStaking: where rewards come from and what remains after the price changes
Where staking rewards come from, how costs reduce them and why more ETH can still mean fewer dollars.
Open articleUSDT and USDC: reserves, redemption, networks and holder rights
What backs each token, who can redeem it, and what can go wrong between an exchange, a wallet, another network and your bank.
Open articleThree currency pairs, one dollar bet? Correlation and portfolio risk
Three trades can share one risk factor. Understand currency exposure, the sum of stop risks and the limits of correlation, with practical examples.
Open articleWhat buying cryptocurrency really costs: fees, spread and slippage
The full cost of buying, transferring and selling crypto: fees, spread, liquidity and slippage, with a $10,000 cycle and an interactive order book.
Open articleAccount drawdown: balance, equity and the road to recovery
Balance versus equity, open losses, drawdown duration and the mathematics of recovery — with charts and a calculator.
Open articleExchange, hot and cold wallets: how to store crypto assets
Understand key control, recovery backups and the checks needed to move crypto between an exchange and a wallet.
Open articleBitcoin forecast 2027–2030: CoinShares, ARK and our 2027 scenarios
Our Bitcoin scenarios for the end of 2027 are $50,000, $120,000 and $200,000. CoinShares’ estimates for 2028–2029 and ARK’s scenarios for 2030 come from separate studies.
Open article →Why Bitcoin price forecasts disagree: ARK, CoinShares and the assumptions behind the numbers
Compare adoption, market-size and savings-flow models, a real forecast revision, horizon mismatches and conflicts of interest before relying on a Bitcoin price target.
Open article →Ethereum forecast 2027–2030: VanEck and our annual scenarios
We outline three possible ETH prices for each year from 2027 through 2029. VanEck’s 2030 valuation comes from a separate study with its own assumptions.
Open article →Solana price forecast 2027–2030: VanEck scenarios versus newer 21Shares valuations
Our SOL scenarios cover the ends of 2027, 2028 and 2029. We compare them with VanEck’s 2030 model and 21Shares’ possible highs during 2026 without treating those figures as one forecast.
Open article →XRP forecast 2027–2030: reported Standard Chartered $28 and Finder $5.25
The reported revised bank year-end targets are $7.00 in 2027, $12.60 in 2028, $19.60 in 2029 and $28.00 in 2030; the 2026 checkpoint is $2.80.
Open article →Cardano (ADA) price forecast 2027–2030: annual scenarios and Finder’s $3.56 estimate
Finder’s original specialist-panel survey, updated November 11, 2025, estimated ADA at $3.56 by the end of 2030.
Open article →BTC or ETH each month? An eight-year momentum rotation test
The aim is to hold whichever of BTC and ETH had the stronger recent trend, and avoid both when neither had a positive 90-day return. The rule does not predict tomorrow’s price.
Open article →EUR/USD London false breakout: does fading the Asian range work?
Here we test whether a move that breaks the quiet overnight range but quickly returns inside it tends to travel back towards the range’s middle. This is a hypothesis about price behaviour, not an automatic buy signal.
Open article →How to backtest a trading strategy without fooling yourself
A practical Forex and crypto backtesting guide: define rules, prevent look-ahead, model fills and costs, test unseen data and read results critically.
Open article →Leverage, margin and liquidation: a clear guide with real-world examples
See exactly how a $1,000 margin supports a $10,000 position, why liquidation can arrive before zero, and how crypto differs from Forex CFDs.
Open article →Risk/reward and break-even calculator
Compare a planned trade’s reward and risk after estimated round-trip costs. Find the break-even exit price and minimum win rate.
Open article →Bitcoin dominance: how to read BTC’s market share correctly
A clear guide to BTC dominance with real 2017, 2021 and 2025 data, four market situations and an interactive market-cap model.
Open article →Altcoin season or myth: when did altcoins really beat Bitcoin?
A source-led test of 2017 and 2021 altcoin cycles, plus 993 real BTC and ETH daily closes from 2024–2026. Learn what dominance and 90-day outperformance actually show.
Open article →Proof of Reserves: what an exchange proves—and what it does not
Learn to read an exchange Proof of Reserves report: wallet assets, customer liabilities, Merkle verification, coverage ratios and blind spots.
Open article →Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index: does extreme fear really mean buy?
A data-led study of 3,149 matched daily Bitcoin observations and 727 sentiment-state changes tests what happened after Fear & Greed readings.
Open article →Bitcoin halving history: what price actually did after every halving
A data-led study of all four Bitcoin halvings: exact blocks, comparable 90-, 365- and 730-day returns, drawdowns, changing market structure and the limits of a four-event sample.
Open article →Negative Bitcoin funding rates: do rebounds really follow?
An event study of 7,374 BTCUSDT funding observations and 280 independent negative-rate episodes from 2020 to 2026.
Open article →Funding rate and open interest: how to read an overheated crypto market before liquidation cascades
A practical investigation of funding, open interest and price—with real BTC candles, documented market snapshots and an interactive positioning matrix.
Open article →Liquidation cascades: how leverage turns a price drop into a market avalanche
A data-led investigation of forced liquidations, mark price, insurance funds and ADL—with real BTC and ETH charts and a leverage stress test.
Open article →Token unlocks: when locked supply enters the market
A practical investigation of vesting, cliffs, circulating supply and dilution—with an official Arbitrum schedule model and a framework for reading unlock calendars.
Open article →When $1 stops being a dollar: the biggest stablecoin depegs in crypto history
A data-led investigation of the UST collapse, the USDC bank shock, pressure on USDT and DAI contagion—with real hourly charts and a practical stablecoin checklist.
Open article →The biggest crypto scams in history: tokens, exchanges and billion-dollar frauds
A documented investigation of OneCoin, FTX, Terra, PlusToken, BitConnect, Celsius, QuadrigaCX and other major crypto fraud cases—with court outcomes, red flags and practical lessons.
Open article →How to choose a crypto exchange: 8 checks before you deposit
A practical framework for comparing regulation, security, custody, liquidity, fees, withdrawals, and support before funding a crypto exchange.
Open article →The biggest Forex scandals in history: broker frauds, rigged markets and missing client money
A documented investigation of benchmark manipulation, broker misconduct, Ponzi schemes and market-driven collapses—with court outcomes, red flags and practical checks.
Open article →15 January 2015: the day the Swiss franc broke Forex
A documentary reconstruction of the SNB shock: the CHF 1.20 floor, vanished liquidity, failed stop-losses, negative balances and the brokers that broke.
Open article →3 January 2019: the night the yen jolted the Forex market
A documented reconstruction of the January 2019 yen flash event: the 30-second move, AUD contagion, disappearing liquidity, widened spreads and what traders can actually learn.
Open article →NFP breakout after the jobs report: a 32-release test on real FX quotes
A reproducible test of an NFP opening-range breakout on EUR/USD and USD/JPY, using actual BLS publication dates and Dukascopy 15-minute bid quotes from 2024–2026.
Open article →How to choose a Forex broker: 8 checks before you fund an account
A practical framework for checking Forex broker regulation, client money, execution, trading costs, platforms, withdrawals, leverage, and support.
Open article →How to verify a Forex broker licence before you deposit
A step-by-step guide to checking a Forex broker’s legal entity, official register entry, permissions, website, warnings, and client protections.
Open article →What does Forex trading really cost? Spread, commission, swap and slippage
Learn how to calculate the real cost of a Forex trade by combining spread, commission, overnight financing, slippage, conversion, and account fees.
Open article →Forex robots: how to read live results and drawdown
A practical framework for checking Forex Expert Advisors through public live monitoring, equity, drawdown, lot sizing, broker conditions and demo testing.
Open article →USD/JPY Tokyo opening-range breakout: a complete M15 test
A reproducible test of the Tokyo opening-range breakout on real USD/JPY M15 BID candles, including the next-bar execution rule and modelled costs.
Open article →Forex position size calculator
Calculate risk amount, position size in standard lots and base-currency units from account balance, risk percentage and stop distance.
Open article →Forex pip value calculator
Calculate the value of one pip for a chosen lot size, contract size, pip size and quote-to-account conversion rate.
Open article →Bitcoin and the 200-day moving average: can a trend filter reduce drawdown?
A transparent Bitcoin SMA 200 strategy test with real daily candles, next-day execution, trading fees, equity curves and false-signal analysis.
Open article →EUR/GBP mean reversion: do Bollinger Bands and RSI work on H1?
A real-data EUR/GBP H1 test of Bollinger Bands 20/2 and RSI 14 with next-bar entries, ATR stops, trading costs and drawdown.
Open article →BTC and ETH portfolio rebalancing: calendar, threshold or buy and hold?
A real-data comparison of four ways to manage a 50/50 Bitcoin and Ethereum portfolio, including fees, drawdowns and exact rebalancing rules.
Open article →Carry trade in Forex: how rates, currency moves and rollover combine
A real EUR/USD case study separating the spot move, the gross Fed–ECB rate differential and the combined result of a simplified carry model.
Open article →Bitcoin and Ethereum DCA: rules, real charts and when the strategy fails
A practical Bitcoin and Ethereum dollar-cost averaging framework using real Binance daily candles, fixed monthly purchases and transparent calculations.
Open article →EMA 200 + ADX + ATR Forex trend strategy: exact rules on a real EUR/USD chart
A transparent EUR/USD H1 trend framework using real hourly candles, EMA 200, ADX 14, directional movement and ATR-based exits.
Open article →Bitcoin 55-day breakout strategy: an eight-year test with SMA 200 and ATR
A reproducible Bitcoin breakout study using real daily candles, a 55-day channel, SMA 200 regime filter, ATR stops, fees and an Ethereum robustness check.
Open article →EUR/USD London Breakout: a 550-trade test with real M15 data
A session-aware EUR/USD London Breakout study using 67,287 real M15 bid candles, Europe/London daylight saving time, explicit exits and one-pip costs.
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